黃金公主的原物料投資筆記 :頂尖基金經理人首次公開原物料投資最佳法則
  • 作者:蕭若梅
  • 出版社:財經傳訊
  • 語言:中文繁體
  • 出版日期:2017/01/20
  • 定價:280元
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vv9v8v09fq:BK100000:iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;iread;irea她,是知名的頂尖基金經理人 她,人人稱她為黃金公主 她,曾經深入地下3,000公尺的黃金礦坑 她,曾經登上海角鑽油平台 她,這次要告訴你 原物料類股正在谷底!! 由谷底到高峰,5年左右的周期, 任何人都可以低進高出,晚上一定睡得著。 2016年金價由谷底反彈不過10多趴,但是金礦類股相關基金漲了一倍。 固定成本比例極高的特色,讓原物料類股由谷底翻身時有驚人的獲利能力。 原物料是由供需而非大戶主導的市場 而真實的供需,而就算對一般人而言,只要適當的指引,也不難了解。 為什麼印度的雨季會影響黄金的需求,原油的需求成長為什麼是全球經濟成長的一半。 只要你知道一些基本概念,其實不難由新聞中嗅出訊息。 2017年所有原物料都在底部 黄金、石油、銅、鐵、鈾.......。所有重要原物料產品都在2016至2017年間打底。 貝萊德世礦這支基金,曾經創下在台銷售千億的紀錄! 原物料投資絕不是「冷門」的投資工具, 更是適合一般人的投資工具。 如果你曾經忽視這項投資工具, 在2017年讀這本書,是好的開始。 ★簡單秒懂──如何判斷原物料的供需精準投資! 明年石油的需求成長多少,你可以捉一個差不多的數字:全球經濟成長之半。如果全球明年經濟成長為3%,而今年的全球原油需求為每日9,000萬桶,那麼明年的需求大約增加135萬桶。黄金的價格走勢要看美元,很多名嘴這麼說,但是其實看美元資產的風險更準確。 本書看起來像是故事書?是的,這是本有情節的投資書,因情節讓你更好懂,而該提到的專業知識一點也不少。 ★安全穩定──沒有主力操作也是最容易投資的工具! 原物料的品質均一,黄金就是黄金、原油就是原油。在全球市場交易,沒有主力作手可以進行操控。因此它的價格走勢純受供需的影響。通常它的景氣循環周期很長,投資人可以輕鬆的在確定上漲時買進,確定下跌時賣出,而享有可觀的獲利。 記得諾基亞,不到幾年,它的產品由年銷5億支到乏人問津,但是黄金、石油、鐵礦鈾礦會有這樣的問題?除非是世界末日吧! ★專業分享──黄金公主首度公開的各種成敗投資經驗!! 這幾年金價不過由1盎司1,000美元左右成長為1,300美元左右。漲幅不過3成,但是金礦公司組成的基金,暴漲100%的比比皆是。為何?因為原物料產業,不論是挖礦或是抽油,期初成本投入極大,但是達到一定的規模之後,每單位的產出,成本卻不斷的下降。因此需求及價格小幅的增加,卻會造成利潤的大幅成長。 這些觀察原物料產業的眉眉角角,要由有經驗的基金經理人進行指引。本書作者是國內少數有豐富經驗的專業投資人之一,可以給投資人全面而正確的投資經驗。 ★嚴謹系統──產業循環與股價淨值比,讓你在產業谷底買到便宜的投資標的!! 產業循環像是主人,股價像小狗。主人決定主要行進路線,小狗來回繞著主人跑,造成股價有時候貴,有時便宜。從產業循環底部上升的過程中,股價會上上下下很多次,提供交易的機會。如果在底部確立的狀況下投資,中期以上持有,不難獲得豐厚的報酬,但是可能要忍受短期回檔的壓力。資源股波動是很大的,回檔有可能是15%起跳。為了避免承受回檔的苦果,就必須對投資標的,以股價淨值比進行評價。本書告訴你如何做。
作者簡介
蕭若梅

現為外商投信全球股票投資團隊一員,擔任研究部資深經理。
成大統計學系學士、美國伊利諾大學芝加哥分校MBA。
擔任過國內、國外基金經理人及全權委託帳戶經理人。以計量投資管理過天然資源基金、全球股票型基金、以及國內第一檔台幣計價之黃金股票型基金。過去曾在HSBC資產管理工作、亦擔任過法國計量投資資產管理公司SINOPIA Asset Management 亞洲區product specialist。熟悉原物料投資、計量投資、產品設計。有「黃金公主」之稱,並受邀台北市政府動產質借處黃金趨勢講師。
主要研究領域為能源、原物料股投資,及計量研究。
書籍目錄
基本篇

CH 1 投資原物料你必須知道的基本知識 
  軟性商品與硬性商品,性質大不同
 你買的是公司或是實物?
 崇尚單純或是搞成大雜燴
 追求絕對正報酬的期貨基金

CH 2 原物料投資:股票與商品期貨的投資分析差異
     產品生產者vs. 產品價格
     現在的產量受過去價格影響

CH 3 原物料投資:股票型與期貨型基金的比較
     研究重點不同:商品報價vs.營收
     對「時間」的判斷不同:幾年vs.幾秒
     槓桿度不同:預留現金多vs.預留現金少
     波動度不同:高波動的股票vs.低波動的期貨

能源篇

CH 4  原油供給需求怎麼看
      供給:從老牌產油國到油頁岩生產者
      需求:需求成長量約是經濟成長率的一半

CH 5  分析能源產業的兩個基本概念
      美國為主、其他國家為輔
      上下游產業特性不同

CH 6  投資原物料常見的政治大戲-經濟制裁
      經濟制裁對象是誰,為什麼經濟制裁
      經濟制裁多久 
      經濟制裁對經濟的影響  

CH 7  當牛奶比油貴時-淺談大宗商品報價
      一桶油是多大桶:158.9834公升
      美元計價的世界,很難不受美元幣值影響

CH 8  一顆石頭改變全世界-淺談頁岩油氣投資
      頁岩油氣來自何方:地底薄薄的層積岩
      很多國家都有油頁岩,但只有美國的開採技術夠看
      財務靈活的小公司,足以對抗傳統產油國

貴金屬篇

CH 9  永遠令人眼睛一亮-黃金基本面分析
      需求受投資、飾金及工業影響?那各國央行呢?
      需求像油門,供給像煞車

CH 10 比特幣的黃金原理
     比特幣用採礦形成,排除政府影響,這讓你想起黄金?
     過去的金本位制讓黄金人人愛
     現在的QE也將讓黄金人人愛

CH 11 印度:No Gold. No Wedding!!
     為何年底是黄金市場的旺季?只因印度結婚旺季與中國新年!
     印度是第一個以黃金來達到控制貿易及財政政策的國家

CH 12 黃金之谷,我來了!
      金礦場的「大」卡車代表什麼
      在地底三公里的新計畫

CH 13 只是一枚婚戒,就必須開採250噸的礦石?
      金礦公司擁有多少值得開採的黄金量?
      黄金戰爭也是美俄領頭?

CH 14 黄金價格主要被那些因素影響?
      黃金,幾乎無法評價
      3個特性,讓傳統評價理論破功
      黃金價格跟那些因素有關?
      黃金ETC庫存量無法預估金價走勢

CH 15 黄金類股指數介紹

基礎礦業篇

CH 16 開發中經濟體的景氣探針-淺談鐵礦砂投資
      鐵礦砂的需求是發展中國家經濟重要指標
      鐵礦砂的供給與資源分布
      鐵礦砂的需求
      
CH 17 明日之星鈾礦
      對抗溫室效應的要角
      鈾礦基本介紹
      鈾礦是特許行業
      鈾的報價
      投資鈾礦的方式

投資篇

CH 18  運用產業循環制定原物料中長期投資術
       原物料產業循環的7個階段

CH 19  天然資源相關資訊那裡找

CH 20  兩倍標準差評價法!告訴你投資標的是便宜還是貴 
       投資就是不要買貴,但什麼是貴?
       為什麼要用股價淨值比來評價?
       價格高低的標準:兩倍標準差
       股價淨值比的兩倍標準差法
裝訂類別

裝訂方式: 平裝
頁數: 200
出版日期: 2017/01/20
語言: 中文繁體

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